NBA Post Season Trends
Bradley Owen - Who2beton
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April 18 , 2006
It’s that time of the year, 82 regular season games have sorted the wheat from the chaff and it’s now down to the best eight teams from each conference to battle away in best-of-seven series to see who will be crowned Champions. I have omitted the word "World" because in truth, how can it be World when teams are only represented from two countries and let’s just remind ourselves, that neither Canada or the USA have won even Olympic Gold in basketball the last two times around. If their is one fault with American Sport it is the fact that the finals, more times than not, have the word "World" in it How can that be, when 99% of the other countries fail to take part. And that’s what "world" competition’s are all about. They are made by other Countries competing. Look at soccer, you get the Copa America’s Cup, the European Championship, the African Nations Cup. All these lead to the only soccer competition that has the word "World" in it; the FIFA World Cup. NFL and NHL have it right with their names to the Chamionship Games, and let’s face it, that is all they are, CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES. When will Baseball and the NBA come into line.
Now that I have that off my chest I presented two articles last year for the Nothing But Action playoffs, that proved highly profitable if you had followed them, culminating in over 68% ATS winners. So lets see if the following fifteen angles can atleast repeat in 2006.
The following angles all apply ONLY to post-season play and have produced profits every year for atleast the last three seasons.
- Playoff home underdogs of +6 or more points are 20-10 ATS.
- Underdogs of +12 or more points are 29-12 ATS.
- NBA Teams are 41-16 ATS at home when the O/U line is less than 180 points.
- Road teams off a 20 point or more road playoff loss are 35-18 ATS.
- Home teams that are off a home win and scored 115 or more points in that win cover just 32%.
- Teams off exactly one days rest and are off a home win where they shot less than 40% from the floor cover 67% in their next game.
- Home teams returning off a 10 or more point road win in their last game and scored 100 or more points in that game cover less than 30% of the time.
- Home teams in the playoffs off a SU home win and allowed 80 or less points cover over 70% in this next game.
- Home teams off an away SU loss by 10 or more points and they scored 80 or less points cover over 70% in their next game.
- Game 7 of a series in any round are a long-term 62% UNDER play.
- Home teams off two ATS wins and the last was gained on the road play OVER 70% of the time.
- Game 4 road teams after winning their first two games at home and then losing Game 3 on the road versus a less than .700 opponent cover 60% of the time over the last 13 years.
- Home dogs off an away SU loss by 10 or more points have gone OVER 64% of the time.
- Teams off a home win and scored 110 or more points go OVER in their next game at a 70% clip when the posted total is 200 or less points.
- Teams facing elimination as a road dog off a SU road loss are 9-1 OVER.
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